I have a lot of plans with the NFL, including Elo ranking systems, machine learning models, and in-depth statistical analysis as I go.
NFL QB Ratings Examples
Here’s an example of how my analysis ranks NFL quarterbacks by converting EPA per attempt during a match into an Elo-style rating.
Only quarterbacks with more than 10 snaps in a match are included in the update.
Key players are highlighted:
- Tom Brady (orange)
- Aaron Rodgers (red)
- Patrick Mahomes (blue)
- Brock Purdy (pink)
Warning: All initial ratings start at 0. There is a learning period before ratings become reliable — both for new QBs entering the league and during the early seasons shown in the plot.